Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.) has overtaken Gov. Gavin Newsom (D-Calif.) as the leading candidate for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination on a cryptocurrency prediction market.
AOC Edges Past Newsom
Polymarket, a Polygon (CRYPTO: POL) based prediction platform, currently assigns a 22% chance that Ocasio-Cortez wins and accepts the Democratic Party nomination for president. The odds are at an all-time high, up 3 percentage points over the last 24 hours and 7 percentage points over the week.
Newsom ranked second with 17% odds, down 3 percentage points over the past month and well below his January peak of 40%.
Cryptocurrency punters also priced in a 7% chance that Kamala Harris, the Democratic nominee in 2024, would win the 2028 nomination as well.
Over $1 billion has been wagered on the outcome, making it one of Polymarket’s top draws.
50-50 on Kalshi
Interestingly, Ocasio-Cortez was tied with Newsom on Kalshi at 17%.
Ocasio-Cortez, the youngest woman ever elected to Congress, signaled earlier in May that she was not ruling out a 2028 presidential bid while emphasizing that her political goals extended beyond seeking higher office.
Disclaimer: Kalshi and Benzinga have an existing data collaboration agreement.
Fierce Trump Critics
Both Democrats have been vocal critics of President Donald Trump.
Ocasio-Cortez accused the current administration of using intimidation tactics to suppress dissent and pressure Americans into self-censorship.
Newsom has repeatedly criticized Trump, calling him “one of the most destructive presidents and human beings in my lifetime.”
He has also taken on Trump for the administration’s anti-EV stance and for allowing China to take the lead in the EV industry.
Trump, on the other hand, has called both AOC and Newsom an “embarrassment” to America.
Photo courtesy: Sheila Fitzgerald / Shutterstock
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