On Wednesday, Hafnia (NYSE:HAFN) discussed first-quarter financial results during its earnings call. The full transcript is provided below.
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Summary
Hafnia Ltd reported a significant increase in net profit to $179.7 million for Q1 2026, driven by higher freight rates and geopolitical disruptions affecting oil trade routes.
The company is executing a fleet renewal strategy, including the divestment of older vessels and the signing of contracts for ten new MRs with Hyundai Heavy Industries, with deliveries expected from 2028 to 2029.
Hafnia Ltd announced an 80% dividend payout ratio, translating to a total cash dividend of $143.8 million, maintaining a strong commitment to shareholder returns despite market uncertainties.
The company plans to exit the Handy segment entirely and transition the majority of its LR2 fleet to time charter arrangements, reflecting a strategic shift in operations.
Management remains optimistic about future market fundamentals, despite geopolitical uncertainties, with expectations of a substantial inventory rebuilding cycle and resilient freight rates.
Full Transcript
OPERATOR
Welcome to Hafnia’s first quarter 2026 financial results presentation. You will be brought through today’s presentation by Hafnia CEO Michael Skov, CFO Perry Van Echtheldt, Soren Vinter, VP Commercial, and Thomas Anderson, EVP Head of Investor Relations. They will be pleased to address any questions after the presentation. Should you have any questions, you can submit them via the chat function or use the Raise hand function to be unmuted to ask your question verbally. Questions will be answered at the end of the presentation. During this conference call, some statements may be considered forward looking, reflecting management’s current expectations. These statements involve risks, uncertainties and other factors, many of which are beyond Hafnia’s control that could cause actual results, performance or plans to differ significantly from those expressed or implied. Additionally, this conference call does not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. With that, I’m pleased to turn the call over to Hafnia CEO Michael Skov.
Michael Skoll
Thank you and hello everyone, and thanks for joining Hafnia’s first quarter 2026 earnings call. I’m Michael Skov, CEO of Hafnia. With me today are our CFO Perry Van Echtheldt, our VP of Commercial, Soren Vinter, and our Head of Investor Relations, Thomas Anderson. We released our first quarter 2026 results earlier today and you can find them on our website. On today’s call, we will cover our Q1, highlights, the latest market developments, including the significant geopolitical disruptions that have shaped the quarter, and then give an update on our financial position. We will also touch on our sustainability initiatives. Before concluding the presentation, let’s move to the next slide. Before we proceed, I would like to go through our Safe harbor statement. The information discussed on this call is based on information we have today, which may include forward looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Actual results may differ materially from these statements. Nothing presented in this call should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities. Next slide we now move to slide number four and let’s begin with a review of our result for the quarter. The first quarter was a transformative quarter for the tango industry, largely defined by geopolitical disruption without modern precedent. The closure of the Strait of Hormuz has fundamentally reshaped global oil trade flows during the quarter. Against this backdrop, we delivered a net profit of $179.7 million, nearly three times our first quarter 2025 result, supported by higher freight rates which tightened tanker supply and disruptions of trading routes around the world. On our forward coverage, 73% of Q2 earning days has been covered at $46,600 per day, supporting our expectation of a stronger second quarter. On the fleet activity side, we continue to divest older vessels during the quarter as per our fleet renewal strategy in maintaining a low average age modern fleet. Importantly, we have also announced the signing of a contract for eight new Mr. New builds with Hyundai Heavy Industries with deliveries expected between Q3 2028 and Q2 2029. Further to that, we recently exercised two additional options with the same yard for delivery in 2029. This is a meaningful step in our fleet renewal strategy, locking in modern efficient tonnage at an attractive point in the cycle, continuing our focus on modernizing the fleet and reducing average fleet age as well as strengthening our long term earnings capacity. Let’s move to the next slide. Hafnia remains the global leader in product and chemical tankers. At the end of the quarter we owned and chartered in 118 vessels with an average fleet age of 9.6 years. Our net asset value at the end of this quarter has increased to approximately $4 billion equivalent to $8.09 per share or about 78.81 Norwegian krona. That’s up from the 3.5 billion at the end of fourth quarter, driven by higher valuations across all segments and strong earnings. We continue to operate around 60 third party vessels across eight pools while our Seascale energy bunkering joint venture with Cargill continues to progress steadily and even more so with recent geopolitical events. Looking ahead in 2026, we intend to wind down our Handy and LR2 pool operations. As our Handy vessels are sold, we expect to exit the Handy segment entirely, while the majority of our LR2 fleet will transition to employment under time charter arrangements. Let’s move to the next slide. Turning to shareholder returns, we have now paid dividends for 17 consecutive quarters. Our net loan to value improved to 20.2% at the end of first quarter, down from 24.9% at the end of 2025, primarily driven by strong cash flow generation from both operations and vessel sales. In line with our transparent dividend policy, we are declaring an 80% payout ratio. That translates to a total cash dividend of 1 43.8 million DOL per share. This represents an annualized yield of 14% for shareholders receiving dividends in Norwegian kroner. The exchange rate will be based on the value date, which is two business days before payment. Over the last four quarters, our cumulative dividends totaled $365.3 million, or 73.19 cents per share. Our total shareholder return over the last 12 months now exceeds 100%, which is a result of strong earnings, consistent dividends and meaningful share price appreciation. Son Winter, our VP of Commercial will now take you through the industry review and market outlook.
Son Winter
Thanks Michael the Next slide, please. Let me me set the scene for the market environment we are navigating. This quarter has been unlike anything we have seen in modern shipping history, so I want to walk through the key dynamics shaping the market. The headline numbers tell the story. Global observed inventories has drawn down roughly 200 million barrels between February and April 2026, with OECD on land stocks plunging 146 million barrels in April alone. The IEA’s accumulative deficit is projected to reach approximately 900 million barrels by September, requiring roughly 1 million barrels per day of incremental supply over a three year period to fully rebuild. On the fleet side, year to date, around 72 LR2 vessels have migrated into Aframax dirty trading, reducing the clean LR2 fleet by about 28%. This has effectively absorbed the bulk of 2026 new build deliveries. Meanwhile, and since the closure of the Hormuz Strait, US clean product exports have surged approximately 40% from February to May, partly filling the supply gap left by the Middle east disruption. The market remains backed by fundamentals supporting continued market resilience. Most important drivers are elevated ton miles, structural fleet tightness and a multi quarter inventory rebuild ahead. Let me take you through the deeper detail. Next slide please, starting with Global oil demand. In the face of global oil shortages, government and companies are working to constrain the crisis by implementing demand saving measures. As a result, the IEA is now projecting the first annual decline in global oil demand since 2020, with the sharpest dip coming in Q2 2026. However, projections for demand are to recover toward the year end to approximately 106 million barrel, averaging around 104 million barrels per day for the full year on the inventory levels. As mentioned, the IEA’s cumulative drawdown could reach 900 million barrels by September 2026, which includes the 400 million barrels of coordinated SPR stock releases, of which only 164 million barrels had been released as of May 8. Next slide please. Importantly, the inventory drawdown is uneven across regions with draws heavily focused in the East. The US and China inventories remain balanced as the US is supported by strong refinery runs for exports, while China adds to commercial stocks. The draws are concentrated in the Middle East, Asia and Europe. The Middle east is drawing heavily on the direct Iranian impact such as refinery damage and product diversion. The rest of Asia is drawing as eastbound arbitrage flows pull from regional stockpiles and Europe is drawing as Atlantic supplies mobilized eastwards, tightening regional balance. Next slide please. This slide puts the current situation into historical context and further shows the unique situation we are facing. You can observe Historically, oil supply deficits have coincided with weaker freight rates due to lower cargo volumes. However, current conditions break that pattern. We have recorded supply deficits occurring alongside VLCC earnings near cycle highs. We see two possible outcomes, either freight rates correct sharply or supply rebound strongly to validate current freight levels. We expect the latter to happen supply recovery and continued freight resilience into 2027 supported by the Middle east refinery normalization, demand recovery and structural tanker market tightness from LR2 migration and sanctioned fleet attrition. The next slide please. Apart from the closure of the Hormuz Strait, another key factor behind the market disruption is the extensive damage to regional refinery capacity. Around 2 million barrels per day of Middle Eastern refining capacity is currently offline due to war related infrastructure damage. This includes major facilities like SATORP in Jubail, Babco in Sitra and ADNOC rouways. While Eastern refiners have indicated that even without further hostilities, full capacity won’t return before Q1 2027. While consensus expects shipping to weaken post conflict, we see continued strength if demand rebounds as forecasted, with ongoing refinery disruptions supporting elevated product flows and turn mild Demand into late 2026. The next slide please. Looking at daily loadings, global clean petroleum product departures are down approximately 15%, heavily concentrated in in the east of Suez driven by the Hormuz disruption and export restrictions across Southeast Asia and Far Eastern hubs. This has partly been offset by a surge in Western exports, mainly from the US but not enough to fully replace the lost eastern volumes. On the dirty side, we see a similar pattern. Global dirty petroleum product departures are down about 17%, mainly due to the collapse in Arabian Gulf crude exports and the next slide please. We typically observe ton mile data as a proxy for product tanker demand. However, reliable data is delayed due to prolonged voyage lengths. Instead, products on water serve as the most reliable proxy for transportation demand. It is important to note that while clean petroleum product loadings are down by roughly 15%, floating cargo volume are only down about 6%. This tells us that the actual impact on global transportation demand is milder than the headline figures suggest, meaning that vessels are spending more time on the water, effectively absorbing tonnage supply Next slide please. On ton miles, the reported data shows a decline of about 10% from February to April, but as mentioned, this may not paint the most accurate picture as it’s distorted by data lag and ongoing voyages not yet fully captured. Once in transit, latent voyages are reflected and we expect the gap to narrow. What is much more telling is the ballast voyage lengths hitting record highs of approximately 1900 nautical miles in April. This means vessels are sailing further to secure their next cargo, a clear sign of repositioning inefficiency that support a tighter supply, demand balance and the next slide please. Turning to key exporting regions. China’s anticipated 2026 export quota of 332 million barrels has a remaining balance of about 1 million barrels per day through end year, representing sustained refinery export capacity. U.S. export volumes increased roughly 40% from February to May, stepping in to fill the left gap by disrupted eastern supply. Although elevated prices have since narrowed arbitrage spreads, export flows remain resilient and continue to sustain ton mile demand. Russian clean product exports remain constrained by ongoing refinery disruptions from Ukrainian drone strikes and the next slide please. In the Arabian Gulf, exports have been partially offset by increased loadings via the Red Sea, particularly from Yanbu, supported by a greater utilization of the Saudi Gulf to Red Sea pipeline. However, this remains only a partial offset. Overall, regional export capacity is still materially below historical levels. Clean petroleum product exports from the Red Sea remain resilient and on to the next slide turning to tanker supply. Over the past years the tanker market has faced five major COVID 19 the Russia, Ukraine war, the Panama drought, the Houthis Red Sea disruption and now the Hormuz blockade. Each shock has rerouted trade flows and added ton miles, while replacement capacity has consistently lagged. The fleet aged 20 years and above has grown from 48 million deadweight tons in 2020 to 187 million deadweight today, with 251 million projected by 2028. Scrap potential sanctions and operational restrictions on this expanding age cohort form a durable supply anchor through the end of the decade and the next slide please. The LR2 to Aframax migration continues to be one of the most important structural shifts in our market. Global Clean LR2 availability is now down approximately 28% year to date, with 72 vessels having migrated to dirty trading. This has Effectively absorbed both 2026 new build deliveries and part of the existing clean trading tonnage. A reversal is unlikely. While Afromax economics remain this strong, this migration is materially tightening clean tanker supply and reinforcing the overall tonnage constraint. Next slide please on the order book and scrap landscape the known new Build program through 2029 for Handy to LR2 consists of approximately 54 million deadweight tons with LR2s accounting for a large proportion against that potential scrapping of older vessels and sanctioned tonnage total 79 million deadweight tonnes over 2026 to 2029. Here we assume that the sanctioned fleet above 20 years is unlikely to reenter mainstream trading despite available yard slots for 2029 and 2030. Any new order would arrive late in the cycle, structurally capping the net fleet growth and on to the next slide. When preparing this material, the Homo Strait remained closed and leaving 124 laden and 33 ballast tankers carrying approximately 96 million barrels worth of dirty petroleum products and 18 million barrels worth of clean petroleum products trapped within the region. The stranded tonnage is materially tightening global supply conditions and underscores the constrained state of the market. Moving on to the last slide in summary, while the timing and trajectory of geopolitical developments in the Middle east remain difficult to predict, we remain constructive on the strength of the underlying market fundamentals as countries continue to draw down on inventories. The eventual reopening of the Hormuz trade and recovery in eastern refinery operations could trigger a meaningful multi quarter inventory rebuilding cycle, providing strong underlying support for the tanker demand and resilient freight rates. I’m now handing over to Perry, our CFO who will bring you through our financial developments.
Perry Van Echtheldt (Chief Financial Officer)
Thanks Stern. Next slide please. Q1 2026 was our strongest quarter since the end of 2024. TCE income reached $282.5 million, up from 218.8 in 1Q25. Adjusted EBITDA came in at $198.6 million compared to 125.1 again for Q1. 2025. Fee based business contributed $7.1 million and we’ve also earned $9.9 million in dividend income from our investment in TOR. Therefore, net profit was $179.7 million, nearly triple Q1 2025 and this quarter also included $32.5 million in gains on the vessels that we sold in the quarter. Return on equity for Q1 reached 29.5% on an annualized basis and return on Invested capital was 22.7%, both the highest levels we’ve recorded in the trailing five quarters. If we move to the balance sheet on the next page, our net Debt decreased from $932 million to $797 million driven by strong operational cash flow and the vessel sales. The proceeds from those vessel sales, our net LTV ratio improved meaningfully from 24.9% at the end of last Q4 to 20.2%. As vessel valuations continue to rise, cash flow was steady and we received proceeds from these vessel sales. We continue to maintain a strong liquidity profile with total liquidity standing at approximately $660 million comprising of $146 million in cash and $550 million in undrawn credit facilities. With our new build program consisting of 10 misses. The chart on the bottom right reflects our expected CAPEX commitments for these new builds. We expect to incur approximately $80 million in Q2 2026 on progress payments and most of the CapEx of the remaining CapEx is concentrated in 2028. We then move to the operating summary on the next page. The first quarter TCE rates showed significant improvement across most segments. Our fleet wide average TCE reached $30,327 per day, while our average spot rates were $31,543 per day. The dry docking site Q1 had 214 of hire days, significantly less than those that we had experienced experienced in 2025 overall and we still expect some dry docking in 2026, but the number of off hire days will decrease meaningfully in the second half of this year. The strength of the current market is clearly visible in our forward coverage. As you can see from the graph, our covered rates for Q2 are significant improvement from the previous quarters, supporting our expectation that Q2 will be significantly stronger than Q1. Then with that, let’s move to the next slide. So as of May 13th we have secured 73% of Q2 earning days at an average rate of $46,600 per day. For Q2 through Q4 2026, we have 39% of earning days covered at $38,281 per day. These rates are well above our operational cash flow break even and reflect the extraordinary rate environment that we’re in based on these coverage levels. Looking at the current earnings scenarios as you can see on this page, for full year 2026 they range from $700 million to $1 billion in net income depending on the scenario. Michael, over to you for the next.
Michael Skoll
Thank you for that. Move on to the next slide. Let me now turn to Hafnia’s sustainability strategy and targets. As a global leader in the product tanker segment, we take our role in shaping the maritime ecosystem Seriously. We maintain the highest operational and environmental standards and are committed to making a positive impact. Our targets remain unchanged. A 40% reduction in fleet carbon intensity by 2028, net zero scope 1 emissions by 2050, and zero harm across our operations. We continue to invest in our people with a target of 40% women in our offices by 2030. Next slide, please. Here we showcase some of our strategic initiatives on Complexio. We have recently commenced the deployment of an enterprise AI platform that integrates conversational AI, workflow analytics and automation to transform operational data into faster and more informed decision making. Initial applications are very encouraging. Having already improved response time across commercial and and finance workflows. We believe the platform has significant potential to scale across Hafnia as adoption accelerates through 2026 and 2027. Next slide. Looking ahead, we remain encouraged by the fundamentals of the product tanker market. While periods of disruption and volatility often translate into stronger earnings for tanker companies, it is important that we do not lose sight of the human impact of these events. At the end of the quarter, nearly 200 tankers and thousands of seafarers remained unable to transit the strait. The safety and well being of our own crews, as well as those across the industry, remain our foremost priority. The outlook nevertheless remains highly uncertain and depends largely on the duration of the homeless disruption and the time required for oil production and global refinery operations to recover. Despite this backdrop, I remain highly confident in hafnia’s commercial expertise and operational agility to respond to evolving market dynamics and capture opportunities as they arise. With that, our presentation concludes. I’d now like to open the call for questions.
OPERATOR
We will begin our Q and A session now. Should you wish to ask questions, you can submit them via the chat function or use the raise hand function to be unmuted to ask your question verbally. Questions via the raise hand function will be addressed first before moving into the Q and A. Thank you everyone. So, I’m going to start with the raise hand function as mentioned. I see Frode, you have your hand up. Can I ask you to unmute yourself, please?
Frode
Yes. Thank you. My first question is to Michael. I guess on the 10 MR new builds. I think this is the first time you’ve made a major new build investments. I can’t recall at least one in a few years. So I guess in the prior discussions we discussed new build investments. And in the past, of course, it was more about uncertainty, about future fuels, you know, long lead times at the yards. So the question is really about, you know, what’s changed now and what Makes you feel this is the right time to make an order for new builds.
Michael Skoll
Thank you for that, Porter. And yes, it is true that we have previously said that we wanted to wait for more opportune timing when it came to new builds. But I think our conclusion on this has been that we’ve sold quite a lot of second hand ships, older vessels, we sold them at very strong prices, which basically reflect the depreciated value of a new build today. So in other words, we’ve been selling older tonnets and now we are taking on these 10 Mr. New build. So we see it as, you know, as kind of just a normal, you know, a normal modernization of the fleet. And you know, the other issue that we’ve kind of noticed is that the shipyards order book seems to be full very, very far ahead. You know, 29 is almost full, so we’re looking at 2030. So we also wanted to make sure we didn’t get caught up in a situation, know where your fleet gets older and older and older every year and you still have three or four years until you can get a new ship. So it’s really a combination of those. I mean, you know, we would, we would have loved to see prices being lower. But I think what justifies it, as I said, is that we’ve sold a lot more of older vessels before we order the new ones at similar price levels.
Frode
Yeah, makes totally sense. And this shouldn’t affect the dividends. Right. Anyway, so, yeah, correct course of actions. The second question I had is on the. You mentioned that you’re winding down the Handy and moving some of the LR2s into time charter. Maybe you could elaborate about that. You know, is that about scale or risk reduction or, you know, what’s the reason behind that?
Michael Skoll
Thank you for that. Well, the reason really when it comes to the Handy, is that we’ve seen a market that over the years actually have been shrinking rather than growing. That goes both for the demand side for handies, but also on the supply side of vessels. We had a tremendous proposal for selling the handy ships that we had and the pricing was extremely interesting. I mean, we basically got the same price for the vessels as we bought them for as new builds back in 2015, and they’ve been making a lot of money in between. So that was like a conscious decision that made sense because of the price of the assets. And then by selling that, we basically were coming down to such a small amount that we decided to dissolve the pool. Because the whole idea of the pool is to have scale and to utilize scale to optimize on your earnings. And that just wasn’t, wasn’t the case anymore. So it’s a segment that’s been shrinking, hence again, why we also sold out of it. And on the LR2 side, it’s really a function of that. HFIA doesn’t have that many LR2 ships. And you know, we decided to charter out a few of those. And because again, we charted them out, it suddenly became a different scenario. It didn’t make any sense to have a pool when you don’t have any vessels yourself in the spot market. So the few L2 ships we have became more of a hedging sector for us and that’s why we put them out on time charter. That of course can change in the future, but that’s kind of the reason for the alert rules and the fact that we were winding down that pool as well.
OPERATOR
Okay, that’s good. I’ll turn it over. Thank you, Frede. Sheriff, may I ask you to unmute yourself?
Sheriff
Hi. Thanks and good afternoon. Maybe sticking with the charter coverage as you say, Handy’s and LR2 is a bit smaller part of your fleet, but when I look at your charter coverage on Slide 23 hasn’t been a very significant increase compared to your Q4 report. So I’m just wondering what you’re hearing from charterers. Obviously, spot rates are very compelling at the moment. But just curious for your thoughts there.
Michael Skoll
Hi, can you hear me? Hi. Hi. Well, you can say we have actually increased our, our coverage to, to some extent. You are sitting somewhere between 25 and 30% coverage for half year now. And well, yes, spot chart rates are compelling, but you know, this is for us, it’s a hedge against geopolitical unrest really and a future that is very hard to predict or at least to set a timing on.
Sheriff
Got it. And then zooming out a bit, you mentioned migration of LR2s into the dirty trade. Do you see the Strait of Hormuz putting pressure on LR2s to clean up or perhaps trade dirty? On the one hand, I’m thinking you have increased competition from larger tankers for some Atlantic routes. And then on the other, there’s less export oriented refining capacity which you called out in the presentation. I think primarily the driver for the switchover has been the super strong Afromax market. On a general note, in the, in the Western Hemisphere, you can say combined that combined with the, with the almost closure for now meant that you’ll have to balance very long on your airline. Two clean to pick up next cargo where the natural home for an Afromax is pretty much rest of sewers. So that has probably driven a large part of it. But I think first and foremost the aging part of the LR2 Afromax combination segment is the FMX is getting old. And I don’t know if you saw, can’t remember the slide number, but looking at sanction tonnage and aging FMX fleet, it looks like you’ll be able to build somewhere around 140 and 150 additional LR2s before you sort of catch up to the, to the aging of the same segment. So in combination it seems natural that you will, you will have this transfer that the LR1 segment go from 250 early 25 to 230 late 25 and now down to. I think the last count we have is 179 clean trading LR2s which is a significant dent in the, in the dead weight available available on the clean product segments. You know that that is probably market disruption and you know these scenarios that we are in now pivot a reopening of Hormuz. Will that change things? Well, to the extent that that clean freight supersedes FMX trade, then you are likely to see ships at least opportunistic trainers switching back into clean. The only caveat with that is that it will take time. Right. It will take one or two quarters to to do that. Meaning helpful. Thanks for taking my questions.
OPERATOR
Thank you Sheriff for your questions and thank you. Soren. I don’t actually see any more raised hands so I am going to move into a question in the chat that we have from Fausto regarding S and P. So the company has been been doing a great job on the fleet renewal front. Should we expect divestitures to continue in the coming months? What is management’s view of the current S market? Recently the company has expanded the fleet with new builds. Could management comment on the reasons for favoring new builds over second hand tonnage? Does management currently see new builds as more attractive or is or are there few opportunities in the second hand market?
Michael Skoll
Yeah, thank you for that question. Well, I think the fleet renewal strategy that we have is kind of an ongoing thing. So we still have a couple of vessels in our fleet that at the right price we would consider to divest. But we have done most of the cleanup, I would say of the older tunnel. It has been done already. So we’re kind of getting close to a point where what we have left is what we would like to have left the new build versus secondhand? Yeah, I mean, I think there’s two things in it. One is that we do believe that the second hand vessels here and now are very highly priced for obvious reasons, because you have a very strong spot market. We’re not convinced maybe that that is the right time to pay up for modern ships here now in the water with all the uncertainty. So the fleet renewal in the new build is for us also about a new generation of vessels. So the vessels that we get in 29 is a new design which will have a lot more fuel savings than the older designs. So it’s also kind of a way of making sure that we continue to be on the trajectory of. Of having modern ships with less fuel consumption and less emissions on top of that they deliver in 2029. And if you look at the slide of the two slides that we have in the presentation, you can see how the aging fleet is coming under severe pressure already. Now, the current order book is nowhere near to cover the vessels that have to be scrapped within the next four to five years. So we’re kind of also feeling that the timing of getting something in 29 could actually be at a time where there’s a massive shortfall again of tonnage. So that’s another thing that we have kind of taken in or factored in when we made that decision.
OPERATOR
Okay, thank you, Michael, for that and thank you, Fausto, for the question. I don’t actually see any more questions in the chat or the Q and A, and I don’t see any more raised hands, so. Which then means that we have come to the end of today’s presentation. Thank you so much for attending Hafnia’s first quarter 2026 financial results conference call. You can find more information available online at www.hafnir.com.
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