The S&P 500 extended its rally on Friday, rising 0.29% to close at a record 7,230.12, as easing oil prices and strong earnings continued to support equities.
Now, the Polygon-based (CRYPTO: POL) Polymarket crowd is strongly bullish heading into Monday. The May 4 market shows about 76% of traders betting “Up,” reflecting continued confidence in the market’s upward momentum.

Why That Number Matters
Investor sentiment remains supported by optimism around a potential resolution in the Middle East, after Iran sent a revised peace proposal through mediators. However, uncertainty persists after President Donald Trump said he was not satisfied with the offer.
On Sunday, Trump also announced a new initiative dubbed “Project Freedom,” aimed at assisting cargo ships stranded due to disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, highlighting the continued importance of the region to global markets. Oil prices eased shortly after.
The broader rally in the benchmark index has also been fueled by a strong earnings season and momentum in megacap technology stocks.
Investors are now looking ahead to key economic data, including the April jobs report due later this week, alongside earnings from companies such as Loews Corporation (NYSE:L), Norwegian Cruise Line (NYSE:NCLH) and Tyson Foods (NYSE:TSN) before the bell on Monday.
The Bull Case
Futures are pointing modestly higher to start the week. S&P 500 futures rose 0.07% in early trading, suggesting markets may continue to grind higher as investors look past near-term geopolitical tensions and focus on earnings strength and economic resilience.
How The Previous Bet Played Out: The S&P 500 opened Friday at 7,234.54, above the prior close of 7,209.01, meaning the May 1 Polymarket bet resolved “Up,” with traders correctly anticipating a higher open ahead of another record close.
Image via Shutterstock
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