A Senate Budget Committee hearing this week put Social Security’s funding crisis back in focus, with Sen. Bill Cassidy (R-La.) warning on Thursday that inaction could force benefit cuts of up to 28% or push U.S. debt to dangerously high levels.

Funding Cliff Raises Alarm

More than 70 million Americans rely on Social Security for retirement, survivor, and disability benefits. The program’s trust fund is projected to run dry around 2032–2033, according to the latest Trustees Report. After that, incoming payroll taxes would cover only about 75–80% of scheduled benefits.

“By law, there has to be a cut in benefits so that you balance income with the amount of payments being made,” Cassidy said at a U.S. Senate Budget Committee hearing in Washington, citing projections of a 23–26% reduction.

“Doing nothing will result in a benefit cut of 25 percent or borrowing close to $700 trillion, which will put our debt-to-GDP ratio similar to that of Venezuela,” Cassidy said.

The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) has estimated cuts could reach as high as 28%.

Proposed Fixes Take Shape

Cassidy has proposed pre-funding a new $1.5 trillion investment account, drawn from the Treasury and managed independently with annual audits. Modeled on a 2001 Congressional fix for the federal railroad retirement system, the plan would hold funds over 75 years and use investment returns to help cover future shortfalls.

Meanwhile, the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget has put forward a “Six-Figure Limit” proposal that would cap benefits at $100,000 for couples. The plan could generate between $100 billion and $190 billion in savings over a decade while shifting more support toward lower-income retirees.

Reform Debate Continues

Other ideas being discussed include merging retirement and disability trust funds and adjusting benefits for higher earners. Policymakers have warned that delaying action will make the problem harder to fix as the funding gap continues to grow.

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