Circle Internet Group Inc (NYSE:CRCL) is trading higher on Friday after Mizuho boosted its price target to $120 from $100 while keeping a Neutral rating. Here’s what you may want to know.
- Circle Internet Group stock is showing upward movement. What’s pushing CRCL stock higher?
Mizuho Lifts Price Target As USDC Surges In Market Share
Mizuho analyst Dan Dolev raised the price target on Circle to $120, according to Investing.com, while maintaining a Neutral stance.
The upgrade comes as USDC’s trading volume share has overtaken USDT for the first time since 2018. USDC now accounts for 64% of stablecoin trading volume, compared with an average of just 30% between 2019 and 2025.
Mizuho Raises 2027 Forecasts Across the Board
Mizuho also raised its expectations for Circle’s 2027 performance, lifting its forecasts across several key metrics. The firm now sees the number of meaningful wallets reaching 11.7 million instead of the 10 million it previously projected, and it expects USDC’s market cap to climb to $139 billion rather than $123 billion.
Those changes led the firm to increase its adjusted EBITDA estimate to $1.119 billion from $922 million, a sizable jump that reflects stronger confidence in Circle’s long‑term profitability.
Mizuho pointed to rising USDC activity and emerging use cases — including platforms like Polymarket and the growing potential for AI‑driven “agentic commerce” — as reasons for the improved outlook.
However, Mizuho cautioned that falling interest rates over the next several years could pressure Circle’s margins, since reserve interest income is a major source of profitability. Competition in the stablecoin market also remains intense.
The Technical Picture
Circle is trading 36.8% above its 20-day SMA and 35.4% above its 100-day SMA, showing strong trend separation after a sharp rebound off the 2026-02-05 swing low. Shares are up 40.67% over the past 12 months and are currently positioned closer to their 52-week lows than highs (range: $49.90 to $298.99).
Momentum is stretched: RSI is at 73.23, which is overbought and has been above 70 since 2026-03-02 — often a sign of strong demand, but also a setup where pullbacks can get sharper if buyers pause. MACD remains bullish with MACD at 12.4204 above the signal line at 8.7076 (histogram 3.7129), reinforcing that the prevailing push is still upward.
The combination of overbought RSI (above 70) and bullish MACD suggests mixed momentum, with trend strength intact but short-term exhaustion risk rising.
- Key Support: $108.00
Analyst Consensus & Recent Actions: The stock carries a Hold Rating with an average price target of $123.50. Recent analyst moves include:
- Mizuho: Neutral (Raises Target to $120.00) (Mar. 13)
- Mizuho, previously: Neutral (Raises Target to $100.00) (Mar. 3)
- Wells Fargo: Overweight (Lowers Target to $111.00) (Feb. 26)
CRCL Price Action: Circle shares were up 0.31% at $114.53 at the time of publication on Friday, according to Benzinga Pro.
Image: Shutterstock
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