The U.S. is reportedly preparing to attack Iran amid escalating tensions with the Islamic Republic. President Donald Trump on Thursday warned Iran of “really bad things” if it doesn’t strike a deal on its nuclear program within 10 to 15 days.
US Military Buildup Near Iran
According to a report by CNN, the U.S. is prepared to strike Iran as early as this week, but Trump has yet to make a final call. The U.S. is preparing for an attack on Iran, with two aircraft carriers seen heading towards Iran, according to a BBC report.
Not just this, several destroyers, combat ships and fighter jets have been tracked near the Middle East. Iran, on the other hand, has conducted drills with Russia and informed the United Nations that it will strike all hostile targets if it is attacked.
Prediction Market Bets On Strike Date
Polymarket, a Polygon (CRYPTO: POL) based prediction platform that allows users to wager on an outcome using the USDC (CRYPTO: USDC) stablecoin, is currently betting on a contract “US strikes Iran by…?”
The contract has seen action worth over $321 million.
In February 2026, the highest odds of a strike are on Feb. 28 as per bettors, who have predicted a 27% probability.
The odds rise to 50% on March 15 and climb to 61% on March 31.
Bettors have placed the highest probability on December 31, at 76%, followed by June 30 at 69%.
Will Ayatollah Ali Khamenei Be Removed?
A contract on Kalshi, a federally authorized betting platform, shows that over $22 million has been bet on whether Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei will be removed from power.
The odds of Khamenei being removed from power have risen sharply, with bettors placing a 50% probability on the Supreme Leader being removed before September 1, 2026, climbing 2%.
Disclaimer: This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.
Photo courtesy: Shutterstock
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