Investing legend Charlie Munger believed there is only one truly rational way to make decisions in both investing and life: stack every choice against your single best alternative and only act if it’s clearly better.
Munger Frames Decisions Around A Single Best Option
At Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (NYSE:BRK) (NYSE:BRK) 1995 annual meeting, Munger distilled the idea into one of his most quoted lines, saying, “When deciding whether to do something, just compare [it to] the best opportunity you [already] have.” He immediately drove the point home with a blunt follow-up, asking, “If that one is better and you’re not taking it, why would you do this?”
In Munger’s view, you don’t need to analyze every option in isolation and only know what your current “best” opportunity is, then discard anything that doesn’t beat it. He treated this as a master “filter” for investing and life, allowing him and Warren Buffett to ignore thousands of potential ideas and focus on a handful that clearly surpassed what they already owned.
Opportunity Cost As A Lifewide Decision Filter
Munger at the 1997 annual meeting translated the rule into the language of opportunity cost. “Opportunity cost is a huge filter in life. If you have two suitors who are really eager to have you, and one is way better than the other, you do not have to spend much time with the other. And that’s the way we filter out buying opportunities,” he told shareholders, using marriage as a deliberately vivid analogy.
He later joked that “life is a whole series of opportunity costs” and that you should marry “the best person who will have you,” adding that investing works the same way.
Other Investing Giants Echo Munger’s Framework
Munger’s opportunity-cost filter has influenced a wide circle of investors. Oaktree Capital co-founder Howard Marks agrees that every decision carries an opportunity cost and warns that the risk of missed upside can be as important as the risk of loss.
Modern thinkers such as Naval Ravikant have echoed the same logic in life rather than stock picking, advising people to say no to anything that doesn’t clearly beat their best use of time and energy.
Photo Courtesy: Kent Sievers via Shutterstock.com
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