Despite reports that a deal between the U.S. and Iran may be close, there seems to be no deal in sight and increased hostilities between the two countries have made a deal more difficult.
Trump ‘Couldn’t Care Less’
President Donald Trump has even said that he “couldn’t care less” when asked about reports suggesting Iran may halt talks with Washington.
Iranian parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf warned that Tehran could suspend diplomatic engagement if Israeli military operations in Lebanon continue.
Amid all this, a nuclear deal between the two countries seems a little distant.
Here’s What Prediction Market Is Saying
Data from Kalshi, a federally authorized betting platform, shows that over $10 million has been bet on the contract “US-Iran nuclear deal?”
The probability of a deal happening soon has declined over the past few weeks.
Bettors have placed a 53% probability that a deal will be signed “Before 2027,” down by 2%. The odds of a deal before December are 42% and before November are 45%.
Trump Says Iran Cannot Have Nuclear Weapons
Trump, during an interview with Fox News, highlighted the importance of preventing Iran from obtaining nuclear weapons. He emphasized that a hasty agreement could be detrimental.
“We’re going to make a great deal, [otherwise] we’ll just go back and finish it off militarily,” he said.
“I’d like to say I’m in a hurry because gasoline prices are going to come tumbling down, but if you’re going to be in a hurry, you’re not going to make a good deal,” Trump added.
Macron Urges US-Iran Deal ‘Quickly’
French President Emmanuel Macron urged urgent U.S.–Iran negotiations and immediate de-escalation measures in the Middle East.
“It is essential that an agreement between the United States and Iran be reached quickly,” Macron wrote on X, adding that “this opportunity must be seized now.”
Disclaimer: This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.
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